2 Comments
User's avatar
⭠ Return to thread
sriram B's avatar

In this case the odds depend on the future inflation, which is what makes it weird. Like if the US undergoes higher than expected inflation within this decade, Matthew loses money even though the bet had nothing to do with the US economy. I'm not sure how you think this isn't weird.

Expand full comment
Jack's avatar

makes perfect sense for a bet that is more likely to be won later into the time window, automatically adjusting the odds depending on when it happens

it is also much simpler to handle logistically which I would guess is the primary reason

Expand full comment