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I don't think it is credible to say the UBI could replace all other welfare. Even if we were able to do an extremely generous UBI of $30,000 per year I bet there would still be individuals with either extreme needs or extreme irresponsibility who would need more than this. Given the current moral climate I don't think people would say "You've had your $30k so we're not helping any more" - instead something like the current welfare net would remain. We'd get UBI on top of other welfare measures.

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I am skeptical also, but maybe it is my bias. I think politicians hate repealing things, especially things that hand out goodies.

In an ideal world, they would be comfortable saying “ let's switch this for that and everyone comes out ahead”, but I don’t think we live in that world. And Bryan is probably right to think everyone would not come out ahead.

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